
Monday was a slow day in Major League Baseball with only eight games. But there were still several home runs hit Monday night — more than two per game on average. With a full slate of games Tuesday, we’re bound to see more, making it a solid day to bet on MLB home run props.
According to some estimates, we see an average of 1.5 home runs per game. For a full 15-game slate, that’s 22–23 winning home run prop bets. Let’s see who might go deep tonight.
Yankees at Blue Jays
Top Home Run Props (bet365):
Aaron Judge +205
Jazz Chisholm +500
Cody Bellinger +550
Rogers Centre is a home run-friendly park, with 120 home runs hit across 42 home games. No Toronto player has ever homered off Max Fried, and with the way he’s pitching this season, don’t count on him giving one up today.
Toronto starter Kevin Gausman has surrendered 12 home runs this season — eight of them at home. Several Yankees have homered off Gausman in the past, including Aaron Judge (6), Giancarlo Stanton (2) and Paul Goldschmidt (1).
Betting on Judge to hit a home run is never a bad idea. He’s struggled to make consistent contact this past week (.182 batting average) but still hit two homers. Jazz Chisholm has hit four home runs over the past week; it’s hard to fault anyone for riding the hot hand.
Cody Bellinger has two in the last week and is seeing the ball well, hitting .364.
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Athletics at Rays
Top Home Run Props (FanDuel):
Jonathan Aranda +560
Yandy Díaz +400
Both starting pitchers have allowed 14 home runs this season. In 51 games, there have been 127 home runs hit at George M. Steinbrenner Field. At that rate, we should expect at least two — if not three — in this matchup.
Aranda has two homers in the last week and is batting .345. Díaz has hit 10 of his 13 home runs at home and is hitting .385 over the last week.
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Giants at Diamondbacks
Top Home Run Props (FanDuel):
Ketel Marte +340
Christian Koss +520
The setup is strong for a few long balls in this one. Chase Field has seen 102 home runs in 42 games, making it one of nine MLB parks with 100-plus this season. Arizona starter Zac Gallen has allowed 19 home runs — eight at home.
Giants rookie Hayden Birdsong has allowed at least one home run in three straight games.
Marte has three home runs in the past week and remains one of Arizona’s most consistent power threats. As for the Giants, there isn’t a clear-cut option, but Koss has been hot, batting .400 over the past seven days.
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